I graduated from UCLA, so I follow UCLA Basketball closely. This week, the big news is the speculation about Kevin Love, Darren Collison and Russell Westbrook entering the NBA Draft.
Also, this week, several articles have suggested that the NBA wants to raise the age limit to enter the NBA Draft to 20-years-old, though the Players’ Association is not likely to agree to any changes before the current Collective Bargaining Agreement expires.
The draft prospects of Love and Westbrook question the validity of raising the age limit.
Love is as skilled as any college post player this decade. Westbrook is an athletic shooting guard whose biggest weakness is three-point shooting or he is a point guard who has never really played point guard. In most draft previews, Westbrook is a lottery selection and Love is just outside the lottery, though several NBA scouts have questioned Love’s readiness for the NBA.
The NBA tells the public that players need to go to college to develop better skills; however, the NBA drafts players based on talent. A skill is something one can learn; a talent is fairly innate. One can argue whether we are born with our talents or whether our environment plays a role, but in a broader context, we do not learn our talents.
Westbrook is an explosive athlete. Most believe this is a talent. I believe one can improve his vertical jump and explosiveness, but I, for instance, will never be an explosive athlete.
Love throws great outlet passes, finishes in the post with both hands and bodies up well on defense. These are skills he has developed. However, scouts question his size, speed, strength and conditioning.
Westbrook looks like an NBA player. Love does not look like an NBA player. Love, however, possesses NBA skills. Westbrook does not possess any NBA-caliber skills, except possibly his individual defense.
Westbrook possesses talent, which equates to potential. Love possesses skill. We can learn skills, but not talents. Therefore, why should Love return to college? He is more skilled than many NBA post players, but he is not going to become an exceptional athlete with another year of college. Westbrook, on the other hand, may develop new skills with another year of college: he could play point guard for a season to show his ability to play the position and/or he could develop his shooting skills. If he develops one of these skills, he would improve his draft stock dramatically, as he would become either a big, athletic point guard or a capable shooting, undersized but athletic shooting guard.
Love, on the other hand, may improve his skills, but his skills are already proven. He knows how to use his body in the post. He uses both hands well. He can pick and pop and hit the three-pointer. Love is a 6’9 power forward that shoots the ball at the free throw line and from the three-point line better than the 6’3 Westbrook who plays shooting guard. However, most believe Westbrook would be drafted higher based on his talent (potential).
If this is true, why worry about players attending college to develop their skills? Obviously talent is more important than skill and the college experience can do little for the development of talents.